The Dallas Mavericks visit the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday night in San Francisco. The Chase Center is hosting Game 1 of the 2022 Western Conference Finals, with the Warriors enjoying home-court advantage. Golden State toppled the Memphis Grizzlies in the previous round, and Dallas stunned the Phoenix Suns with a blowout victory on the road to Game 7 on Sunday. Andre Iguodala (back), Gary Payton II (elbow) and James Wiseman (knee) are out for the Warriors.
Tipping is at 9 p.m. ET in San Francisco. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as a 5.5-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks scored, is 214.5 in the latest Mavericks vs. Warriors odds. Before making Warriors vs. Mavericks and NBA predictions, you gotta see what SportsLine expert Matt Severance has to say.
A well-connected writer and handicapper who’s been in the industry since 2005, Severance is on a blistering run: He’s a blistering 85-33 his last 118 NBA money-line picks, netting $3,113 for $100 bettors during that span. . Everyone who followed him is upstairs.
Now Severance has set its sights on Mavericks vs Warriorsand just locked down his picks and predictions for the NBA playoffs. You can head over to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and playoff betting lines for Mavs vs Warriors:
- Spread Mavericks vs. Warriors: Warriors -5.5
- Mavericks vs. Warriors over-under: 214.5 points
- Money line Mavericks vs. Warriors: Warriors -225, Mavericks +185
- Mavericks vs. Warriors Tickets: See tickets on StubHub
- DAL: Mavericks are 9-4 ATS in playoff games
- GS: Warriors are 5-6 ATS in playoff games
Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks
Why the Mavericks can cover
Dallas is playing at a very high level in the playoffs. The Mavericks upset the Phoenix Suns in the second round, holding Phoenix to less than a point per possession in a blowout victory on the road to Game 7. Dallas excelled on defense throughout the playoffs, limiting opponents to just 110.5 points per 100 possessions. The Mavericks lead the playoffs in allowing just 7.4 quick break points per game, and opponents connect on fewer than 34% of 3-point attempts against Dallas. The Mavericks are giving up just 9.6 triples per game and creating 7.8 steals per game.
Golden State’s main offensive weakness lies in ball safety, with the Warriors having committed a turnover on 15.8% of possessions. Dallas only giveaways on 11.1 percent of possessions at the other end, and the Mavericks are shooting 38.5 percent from 3-point range in the playoffs. Dallas is also led by a dynamic superstar in Luka Doncic, with the 23-year-old averaging 31.5 points, 10.1 rebounds and 6.6 assists per game in the 2022 NBA Playoffs.
Why the Warriors can cover
Golden State is excellent at both ends of the court and the Warriors dominate at home in the playoffs. The Warriors are 6-0 at Chase Center in the playoffs, outscoring opponents by more than 14 points per 100 possessions. Golden State scores 114.3 points per 100 possessions in the playoffs regardless of venue, and the Warriors lead the 2022 NBA Playoffs in assists (27.8 per game) and assist percentage (66 .4%). Golden State is leaving a mark on the glass, going 28.6 percent on missed shots and averaging 14.5 second-chance points per game.
Golden State also boasts a 59.2 percent true shooting rate in the playoffs, and the Warriors have an elite defense dating back to the regular season. Golden State is allowing just 44.3 percent shooting in the playoffs, and the Warriors finished No. 2 in the NBA in defensive rankings during the regular season. Golden State also posted the league’s top four in field goal percentage allowed, two-point percentage allowed, 3-point percentage allowed, assists allowed and steals, with Dallas ranking last in the league in assists. decisive, second-chance points, quick break points and points in the paint.
How to make Mavericks vs Warriors picks
For Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals, Severance looks at the point total, but he also says a critical X-factor makes one side of the gap a must. He’s just sharing what it is, and which side of the Mavericks vs. Warriors stretched back, to SportsLine.
So who wins Mavericks vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread is a must-have? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavericks vs Warriors spread you need to jump on Wednesday, all from the pundit who crushed his NBA picks, and find out.